Modelling the impact of energy policies on the Philippine economy: Carbon tax, energy efficiency, and changes in the energy mix

Issue Date

12-2015

Abstract

As part of its global obligations to responding to climate change, the Philippines is committed to limiting future emissions growth through policy interventions such as funding research on mitigation and direct regulation of energy efficiency requirements. The Philippines is also interested in extensions of such policies, including the use of carbon taxes, measures to enhance energy efficiency, and changes to the country's electricity generation mix.This paper develops a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of the Philippine economy to analyse the effects of such climate change policy options in the period to 2020. The modelling results indicate that given the current level of development in the Philippine electricity generation and transport sectors, even relatively modest measures have marked impacts on emissions with marginal economic impacts. A carbon tax of $US5 per a tonne, results in a 9.8% reduction in emissions and a 0.5% reduction in GDP from baseline levels to 2020. Similarly, a 2% increase in energy efficiency throughout the Philippine economy results in an 8.5% reduction in emissions and 0.6% reduction in GDP compared to the underlying baseline of no policy response. Finally, a 10% shift in the coal-fired generation capacity results in an 11.0% reduction in emissions with GDP in fact increasing by 1.9% over baseline levels.

Source or Periodical Title

Economic Analysis and Policy

ISSN

0313-5926

Volume

48

Page

222-237

Document Type

Article

Physical Description

tables, graphs

Language

English

Subject

C68, CGE modelling, Climate change, F64, O44, Philippine policy response, Q56

Identifier

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2015.11.014.

Digital Copy

yes

Link to Full Text

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