Ex-ante analysis of PCARRD'S [Philippine Council for Agriculture, Aquatic and Natural Resources Research and Development] industry strategic S and T plans (ISPS) for tropical fruits

Date

2016

Abstract

One of the activities of the Philippine Council for Agriculture, Aquatic and Natural Resources Research and Development (PCAARRD) to contribute to the achievement of society's development goals is the creation of the Industry Strategic S and T Plans (ISPs). These ISPs aim 'to (1) set the vision and direction for S and T for the agriculture, fishery, forestry and natural resources sectors, and (2) influence other National Innovation System (NIS) actors to align their collective efforts towards such S and T vision' (PCAARRD, n.d.)'. Each ISP describes the targets for the industry and the specific interventions relating to the following four banner programs of the Council: strategic research and development (R and D; policy analysis and advocacy; technology transfer; and capacity building. Among the sectors that are major concerns in this regard are crops. The commodities that have been identified as potential key contributors in this area are: abaca, banana, coconut, coffee, legumes (peanuts and mungbeans), mango, rice, root crops (sweet potato), sugarcane, tropical fruits (jackfruit, papaya, durian, queen pineapple), and vegetables. This reports covers the ISPs for tropical fruits specifically durian, papaya and queen pineapple. Research proposals for specific S and T interventions to improve these tropical fruits have been submitted and approved. Some activities have even already commenced. Goal s and targets of these strategies that have been identified in particular industries include increasing yield/production, improving product/by-product recovery,and reducing postharvest losses, among others. The ISP for durian generally aims to increase yield from 3 MT/ha, reduced Phytophthora infection on seedlings by 90%, reduced postharvest losses from 28% to 22%, and increased percentage marketable fruits from 90-95% by 2020. For papaya, the ISP aims to increase yield by 95% (from 22.51 MT/ha) and reduced postharvest losses by 50% (from 40% to 20%). For Queen Pineapple, the goals are to increase yield from 41% to 71.5% (from 24.7 MT/ha in Camarines Norte and 30 MT/ha in Leyte to 42.36 MT/ha), reduction in pest and disease damage from 20-35% through policy on grading and standards. The baseline, benchmarks and targets for each of the fruit trees included in the Tropical Fruits ISPs were also validated from secondary data and experts' opinion. Results of the validation showed that the baseline have to be revised to reflect regional differences and area specific, since the national average masked area specificity. For the benchmark, it was suggested that the ISP manager review the data for the Philippines since there are farmers and areas where the yields were already high even compared with the targets. In addition, data from foreign countries are not comparable with the situation in the Philippines. For example, in the case of durian, the benchmark is Thailand and the yield are based on open areas or pure durian, while in the Philippines durian is intercropped with other fruit trees. Results of the analysis showed that the ISPs on tropical fruits are worth pursuing. At 6% discount rate the NPV for the whole tropical fruits ISPs from 2013-2025 would amount to Php 1,228.9M with an overall IRR of 49.50% and average payback period of 5.27 years, which is within the period covered in the analysis. In terms of NPV, Bundle 1 (Regional Durian R and D for Southern Mindanao) with NPV of Php 172.75M, would have the major contribution to the aggregate NPV for Tropical Fruit. This is followed by Bundle 3 (Improvement of Productivity and Quality of Queen Pineapple) with NPV of Php 105.65M. On the other hand, Bundle 2 (Production of Good Quality Planting Materials of Papaya Hybrid and OPV) yielded the highest IRR of 92% while Bundle 1 would have IRR of 54%. Bundle 4 (Processing of Queen Pineapple farm wastes appears to have the lowest values of NPV and IRR and longest payback period.

Language

English

Document Type

Article

Pages /Collation

105 leaves

En – AGROVOC descriptors

DURIO ZIBETHINUS; PAPAYAS; PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT; TROPICAL FRUITS; PINEAPPLES; EX-ANTE IMPACT ASSESSMENT; YIELD INCREASES; POSTHARVEST CONTROL; PRODUCTION INCREASE; DEVELOPMENT POLICIES; MARKETING TECHNIQUES; FARM PLANNING; RESEARCH

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