Ex ante evaluation of the industry strategic S and T plans (ISPs) of the forestry sector: Ex ante evaluation of the industry strategic S and T plans (ISPs) for bamboo

Date

2016

Abstract

This report covers three objectives. The first one is to validate the assumptions related to the indicators used in the proposed specific interventions of bamboo. Indicators for culm yield such as baselines and benchmarks indicators were found to be achievable given certain management practices, site quality and species. Additional yield indicators were also set to take into account local variations in yield while indicators for hectarage were set based on current area covered with bamboo. Further, achievable targets were set taking into consideration the current production and potential of the industry. The second objective is to trace and analyze the pathways by which the S and T interventions will, individually and collectively, result in the projected changes in the bamboo industry. Pathways of the respective projects and of the Bamboo ISP as a whole were mapped and analyzed and it was found out that interventions utilizing mature technologies generated returns whereas those project which developed and/or are still developing new technologies will require some time before their target benefits are realized. Moreover, projects in the technology generation stage will require technology transfer activities to facilitate the dissemination and eventual utilization of outputs of target-end users. The last objective of this research is to identify, quantify and estimate in monetary terms where possible, the likely benefits and costs of the interventions for bamboo.Using benefit-cost analysis, the values for benefits and costs were estimated the Bamboo and projected. The study found that the Bamboo ISP is worth investing in since it will yield positive net benefits in the future. It was also revealed that by taking into account environmental benefits in the analysis, prospective returns from an intervention increase significantly. Moreover, it was found that projects turn out to be more economically viable when a project's design is such that a production-oriented project is simultaneously conducted with a processing- and/or marketing-related projects. Further, it was analyzed that by focusing only on the potential returns from farmer-adoptors alone and not on the potential benefits to other players in the industry (e.g., processors) of an intervention, there could be an underestimation of the net economic benefits from the public investments.

Language

English

Document Type

Article

Pages /Collation

116 leaves

En – AGROVOC descriptors

BAMBOOS; PRODUCTION; COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS; ECONOMIC VALUE; POSTHARVEST CONTROL; QUALITY ASSURANCE; WOOD TECHNOLOGY

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